A state by state basis was lengthy and probably has some margin for error because of complexity.
Republicans win 27 Senate races
Democrats win 8 Senate races
Sequence
9 Republicans
3 Democrats
Confirmed duplication with sequence
9 Republicans
3 Democrats
For confirmation of the Senate races and an overall take on the House of Representatives, I used a more simple reading.
For the Senate the Democrats make it more close. A tie with no change is most strongly indicated. Republicans will hold.
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